11 November 2008
Raleigh Recognition
Great Information to have!!!!

Raleigh Recognition: Recent "Best Of" Awards

Men's Health: Politically

Engaged City

Men’s Health magazine ranked Raleigh the most politically engaged city in America.

The rankings were based on percentages of active registered voters, ballots counted,

percentage of income donated in the current presidential election, campaign

spending, votes cast in the 2008 primary and votes cast in recent elections for

governor and senate.

-- Men’s Health magazine, September 2008

Milken Institute: A Best Performing City

The Raleigh-Cary metropolitan area is ranked number two in the nation’s “Top 100

Best Performing Cities” in an annual economic performance index released by

Milken Institute/Greenstreet Real Estate partners. The annual study ranks

metropolitan areas by how well they are creating and sustaining jobs and economic

growth. The Raleigh-Cary area rose from number 10 in 2007.

-- September 2008

MSNBC: America's Best City

MSNBC.com ranks Raleigh America’s best city. “Raleigh, N.C., it seems, is the best

place to be in the U.S. right now. It ranks No. 1 in Forbes’ 2008 list and was also top

in 2007 – consistent placement among these lists is truly rare. It ranks No. 2 in

Kiplinger’s list this year. The city is also Fortune Small Business magazine’s No. 20

place to live and launch.”

-- June 2008

Kiplinger's: A Top Urban Area

Kiplinger’s Personal Finance names the Triangle the second best urban area in the

U.S. It highlighted undeniable date: population growth since 2000 of 19.9 percent;

percentage of the work force in the creative class, 36.1 percent; cost of living index,

99 with 100 being the national average; median household income of $56,150; and

income growth of 10.3 percent since 200. This ranking dubbed Houston the best in

America and Omaha, Neb., the third best.

-- July 2008

Forbes: Recession-Proof Local Economy

Forbes magazine ranks the Triangle’s economy as fifth on a list of 10 recession-proof

local economies. --

May 2008

Best Place For Young

Adults

A study conducted by American City Business Journals ranked the Raleigh-Durham

market as the best in the nation for young adults, defined as ages 20 to 34. The

study examined 10 factors, including growth rates of employment and per capita

income, unemployment, percentage of people holding bachelor’s degrees and

median rent in the nation’s 67 largest metropolitan areas. Austin was ranked

second, Washington, D.C., third. Charlotte placed seventh. --

May 2008

Fortune: A Best Place

To Live And Launch

Raleigh’s growing tech industry, support of entrepreneurs and the $2.5 billion

renaissance downtown place the Capital City at No. 20 in Fortune’s “Best Places to

Live and Launch.” --

May 2008

Rachel Ray: Best City

For Singles

Raleigh is named The Best American City for Singles” in Every Day with Rachel Ray

magazine.

-- January 2008

Late 2007 honors

Àz Money magazine ranks the Triangle the seventh top appreciating metro area.

(December 2007)

Àz

2007)

MarketWatch list Raleigh in the top 25 places for retirement jobs. (November

Àz

University’s Centennial Campus the top research science park.

2007)

The Association of University Research Parks names North Carolina State(November

Àz

Election. (

North Carolina is listed as the number one business climate in the U.S. by SiteNovember 2007)

Fall 2007 honors

Àz The National Policy Research Council names Wake County the third hottest

Raleigh Recognition: Recent "Best Of" Awards Page 1 of 4

http://www.raleighnc.gov/portal/server.pt/gateway/PTARGS_0_2_306_202_0_43/http://pt03/IWPortlets... 10/28/2008

Posted by mella at 11:33 AM | Link | 0 comments
05 November 2008
GREAT ARTICLE
The Time is Now for Real Estate
By: Rich Levin

 “This is the type of Real Estate market that two years from now everybody is going to say, “I wish I had bought then.”  All the factors are lining up for the next six to twelve months to be that year.  Let’s look at those factors. 
Financing
Interest rates are dropping below 6% on residential mortgage loans.  Rates are seldom that low and when they have reached that level, mortgage loan rates do not stay there for long.  According to HSH Associates, the nation’s largest publisher of consumer loan rates (HSH.com) from mid 2003 through mid 2005 rates hovered just above and below the 6% threshold, never below for more than a few months.  Before that they had not been below 6% for forty years.  The most likely conclusion is that mortgage loan rates will not stay below six for long.  So, Buyers would be wise to be actively looking to buy and take advantage very soon. 
Mortgage money is available.  Real Estate Agents and mortgage brokers from coast to coast are all telling me that there is money available with five percent down or less.  The Buyers do need to have steady employment, and a reasonable credit rating.  The days of Buyers needing to prove employment, have some cash on hand and credit worthiness have returned for good, hopefully.  Violating those obvious principles contributed enormously to our current global financial crisis.
Requiring stability of employment, credit and some cash is not the banks being cautious.  It is the way lenders have made decisions since paper money was invented.  The last ten years when those fundamentals were ignored have been the exception.  Bottom line, solid Buyers can get the best rates and buy at what I believe is at or near the bottom of the market.   
Inventory, Foreclosures and Pricing
New home inventories are being absorbed.  According to HWMarketIntelligence.com “the number of new homes for sale continues to steadily decline and have not recorded a monthly increase since May 2007.” According to the Mortgage Bankers Association the number and rate of properties entering foreclosure is slowing. 
My anecdotal research from my Real Estate Agent Clients around the country is that the foreclosure properties are being purchased at a much higher rate as first time home Buyers and investors in market after market are deciding that we are near enough to bottom.
This Buyer and investor activity will create its own momentum.  As more Buyers and investors choose to buy now the demand they create will stabilize and lead to market appreciation.  Did people who bought at the height of the boom in late 2005 and 2006 lose equity?  In most markets yes, in some markets they lost a lot.  Are the Buyers who buy over the next year likely to be buying at the bottom of the market and benefit from excellent appreciation?  Every indication that I see says yes. 
As Real Estate Agents you need to decide if you are comfortable recommending that this is the time for Buyers to buy, that prices may be at or near the bottom.  I suggest that we are at or near the bottom and the Buyers you encourage to buy over the next twelve months will be forever grateful for your advice.
Some Considerations
The Real Estate market, specifically for residential homes is typically not a speculative market.  The vast majority of people buy a house to live in it as their home, not to resell it for a profit.  Over the last forty years Buyers have come to expect that their home will build equity and appreciate in value.  But, the decision to buy is usually based on factors other than anticipated appreciation.  The Buyers you encourage to buy want to own the space in which they live.  The fact that this is a fabulous time to make that decision just makes your job easier. 
Second, there is a continuous demand in most markets.  People graduate from school, get better jobs, get married and divorced, have children, upgrade and downsize, among dozens of other reasons that new Buyers come on the market.  These life events keep occurring.  However over the past two years these Buyers have paused.  They still want to buy but they are waiting.  Historically when there is a time that Buyers are reluctant to buy for any reason this creates a pent up demand. 
As Buyers realize that it is a good time to buy but not necessarily for Sellers to sell; demand will begin to absorb and exceed supply.  Over the next year or two the additional demand is likely to lead to a Seller’s market.  Because of the severity and magnitude of the current housing supply this turn to a Seller’s market will likely be gradual. 
The signs of this shift are occurring now, that is, the supply of new construction and foreclosure homes are being absorbed by first time Buyers, investors, and secure homeowners taking advantage of their financial strength.  This spring may be the tipping point when market activity flourishes.  I believe it will.  
Inflation: The X Factor
I remember a rapidly inflationary period.  I remember it for a funny reason.  I used to drink a lot of Coca Cola.  One day when I put a quarter into the machine to vend my Coke I realized that it was going to cost me forty cents.  Soon after that it was fifty cents and within five years it was seventy five cents.  Now it is at least a dollar.  This is inflation.  Your money buys less and the cost of what you buy increases.
If you owned Real Estate during this same period you were very happy because the property you owned in 1981 also doubled in price or more by 1986.  That is true even if you didn’t live in a highly populated area.  This inflationary period did not discriminate by locale. 
Are we on the verge of another inflationary surge?  I don’t know.  I have been reading what I can find on this and it seems to be a largely ignored topic.  I notice that gas prices are declining but not much else.  I think about the trillions of dollars worldwide being spent on the bailout.  The definition of inflation is when the amount of money in circulation increases and the available goods decreases.  It seems to me that is what is happening. 
If inflation does devalue our money then house prices, along with the price of almost all other hard goods will increase and this year’s Buyers are going to get benefit tremendously.  Whether this happens or not it is time for buyers to get in the market. 
First Time Buyers and Investors
For certain Buyers it is time to get active.  I am saying to anyone and everyone that will listen.  FIRST TIME BUYERS THIS IS YOUR TIME!  The federal government is still offering a $7,500 tax credit that is scheduled to conclude in the summer of 2009.  Prices and interest rates are down.  If you are employed and credit worthy you can buy with a small amount of cash out of pocket.  FIRST TIME BUYERS THIS IS YOUR TIME!
Another group that I am encouraging to buy now is investors of residential rental property.  Investors still have to do their investment analysis.  They still have to carefully look at occupancy and vacancy rates.  In other words, investors have to make smart, calculated buying decisions.  This is always the case.
The reason it is a good time for these investors is because the market is soft.  As long as there has not been a population exodus in your community, that is, as long as people are choosing to live in your community and employment is stable, the rental property is going to sustain value.  At the same time market conditions right now, with more challenging underwriting standards and only those who really need to sell putting their property on the market creates the opportunity all investors are looking for, buy low, particularly those with some cash. 
Get in the Game
So, I have been telling my Agent Clients and my audiences to shout from the rooftops that first time Buyers and investors should get in the game.  Call the people in your spheres of influence and your past Clients and be honest with them about whether it is a good time to sell. 
At the same time encourage them to tell their relatives, friends and any one that they care about that if they are first time Buyers to call you and start looking.  If they are investors with some cash suggest that they start looking for golden opportunities with you.
Look for articles from legitimate sources about what is going on with the global financial crisis.  But then look at your local market and discover the opportunities for first time Buyers, investors or any other group or type of property that may be a shining beacon through the fog.
Be the optimistic and intelligent voice of opportunity and you will both survive this market you will become a roaring success as the market improves; which it will.  When?  For most markets, the prediction is late 2009.  For some it will be spring of 2009 and for others it will be longer. 
I have led Agents to success in four of these major shifts since 1979.  Every one of these soft markets creates strength in those that survive it.  And those who survive it by discovering the opportunities for their Clients become the highest producers and the leaders of the healthy market that is likely to be just around the corner.   


About the Author
Rich Levin:
Rich Levin is a coach and speaker whose focus is teaching Agents to achieve their highest level of production with a better quality of life.  Rich is presenting a workshop titled “Survival of the Prepared, Adapting to Changing Markets” at the NAR Convention and in dozens of other Associations, Franchises and Brokers across the country.  For information or to book Rich for your next speaking event call 877-211-6472 or rich@richlevin.com.  Website: www.RichLevin.com

Posted by mella at 11:11 AM | Link | 0 comments
20 October 2008
Wall Street Journal Sunday
A Brief History of Crashes 10/19/2008

(HOPE YOU FIND THIS INTERESTING)

Yikes! For millions of American savers and investors, it has been a terrifying month.

They've watched their shares, bonds and mutual funds crash almost across the board. Many people, understandably, are panicking and fighting the urge to sell. The market's swings have been violent.

It's at times like this that you realize, with apologies to Yogi Berra, that 90% of this game is half mental.

Managing your investments is one thing. Managing your emotions during the biggest financial panic in a generation is another.

Knowing history, as well as finance, is a big help. Here are 10 things to help keep matters in perspective:

1 We have been here so many times before. Of course you know about the famous crashes of 1929 and 1987.

But what about the panics, crashes and slumps of 1812, 1837, 1857, 1873, 1903, 1907, 1914, 1917, 1930-2, 1937, 1946, 1962, 1966, 1973-4, 1976-8 and 1998? Not to mention, of course, the dot-com bust and market slump of 2000 to 2003.

These things happen quite often. Some are worse than others. But the market has always, eventually, recovered.

2 You think this is bad? During the Great Depression, share prices fell about 90%.

At the lows, recounts historian Ron Chernow in "The House of Morgan," members of the Union League Club in New York wallpapered a room with stock certificates rendered almost worthless. A few years later, the market had recovered sufficiently that some members asked for the certificates back.

3 In August 1998, the Dow Jones Industrial Average fell 1,000 points -- about one fifth -- in a few days, following the financial crisis in Asia and Russia. Despite the dire warnings, the U.S. didn't enter a severe recession. Most people have even forgotten there was a panic in 1998.

4 It wasn't the crash of 1929 that caused the Great Depression. Wall Street actually rallied sharply in the following six months.

It was a string of subsequent policy blunders that caused most of the misery. Economic knowledge in the 1930s, like medical knowledge in the Victorian Age, was rudimentary, and often did more harm than good.

5 You think this is bad (Part II)? In the early 1970s the London stock market collapsed by about three quarters; a string of banks failed, and the financial crisis threatened the economy and political stability.

At the lows, a leading financier told a London audience that their best "investments" would be cans of food, gold coins "and a gun." A few months later, the stock market began booming again and prosperity returned.

6 Yes, the economic fundamentals may look ominous. Debt levels are high, wages are flat, and so on. But as Dan Bunting, a veteran British fund manager, likes to point out: "The economic fundamentals always look terrible."

7 Stock-market panics were once so common that, according to 19th-century Wall Street manager Henry Clews, some investors living in the countryside grew very rich simply by waiting for the crashes and then scooping up stocks.

These gentlemen, Mr. Clews recalled in his memoirs, only appeared in New York during a panic. They sold their stocks again at huge profits when the market had recovered, and then returned to their country estates to await the next crash.

The nation prospered nonetheless.

8 Certainly it was a surprise to lose Bear Stearns, Lehman Brothers, Washington Mutual and Merrill Lynch (sort of).

But in 1873 so many banks and brokerage houses failed, and so many others had to shut their doors temporarily, that the stock exchange itself closed for about 10 days to stop the panic.

9 Anyone who bought after the crash of 1873 and held on for 20 years, simply reinvesting dividends, trebled his money.

Anyone who did the same following the gigantic crash of 1907, when J.P. Morgan Sr. stepped in to rescue the financial system, made a 700% return. After the 1987 crash, the figure was 900%.

Even someone who invested after the crash of 1929 and held on for 20 years eventually doubled his money, despite the disasters of the Great Depression and World War II. (Thanks to Global Financial Data for the historical calculations.)

10 Anyone with shattered nerves could do worse than spending $20 on Fred Schwed's hilarious investment classic "Where Are The Customers' Yachts?" It was written in 1940, and it's still right on the money.

"When there is a stock-market boom, and everyone is scrambling for common stocks, take all your common stocks and sell them," he wrote. "Take the proceeds and buy conservative bonds."

If shares keep rising, don't worry: Just wait for the market to crash. It will. When that happens, and "the panic … becomes a national catastrophe, sell out the bonds (perhaps at a loss) and buy back the stocks."

Hold them until the next boom. "Continue to repeat this operation as long as you live, and you'll have the pleasure of dying rich."

No, it's not quite as simple as that. But as Mr. Schwed knew, you're better off buying stocks when nobody wants them and their prices are cheap than when everybody wants them and the prices are dear.

Or, in a nutshell: Never get too bullish -- and never get too bearish.

Write to Brett Arends at brett.arends@wsj.com

Posted by mella at 2:08 PM | Link | 0 comments
12 September 2008
NEW HOME SALES DATE
TRIANGLE MARKET

average days on market (D.O.M.) for resale homes in the Triangle - By City (August 2008)
City
August 2007
Average D.O.M.
August 2008
Average D.O.M.
Change in Average D.O.M.
Raleigh
52
66
14
Durham
70
73
3
Chapel Hill
90
88
-2
Cary
45
52
7
Garner
56
63
7
 
Days on Market represent the days occuring between a property being listed for sale and being placed 'Under Contract.'

SOURCE : Triangle Multiple Listing Source

MLS Disclaimer

This representation is based in whole or in part on data supplied by the Durham Board of REALTORS, the Chapel Hill Board of REALTORS, the Raleigh-Wake Board of REALTORS or their MLSs. Neither the Boards nor their MLSs guarantee or are in any way responsible for its accuracy. Any market data maintained by the Boards or their MLSs necessarily does not include information on listings not published at the request of the a Seller, listing of brokers who are not Members of the Boards or MLS, unlisted properties, rental properties, etc.






Resale Homes sold Year-to-Date in the Triangle - By City (August 2008)
City
August 2007
YTD Sold Properties
August 2008
YTD Sold Properties
YTD % change in # of Sold Properties
Raleigh
5459
3826
-29.9%
Durham
2637
2006
-23.9%
Chapel Hill
932
729
-21.8%
Cary
1452
1003
-30.9%
Garner
451
297
-34.1%
 
SOURCE : Triangle Multiple Listing Source

MLS Disclaimer

This representation is based in whole or in part on data supplied by the Durham Board of REALTORS, the Chapel Hill Board of REALTORS, the Raleigh-Wake Board of REALTORS or their MLSs. Neither the Boards nor their MLSs guarantee or are in any way responsible for its accuracy. Any market data maintained by the Boards or their MLSs necessarily does not include information on listings not published at the request of the a Seller, listing of brokers who are not Members of the Boards or MLS, unlisted properties, rental properties, etc.






recent supply and demand numbers for resale homes in the Triangle - By City (August 2008)
City
Number Available
Number Sold
Month Supply
Raleigh
3438
405
8.5
Durham
1533
218
7.0
Chapel Hill
544
88
6.2
Cary
752
121
6.2
Garner
268
47
5.7
 
* SELLER’S MARKET = 1 to less than 3 month supply.
BALANCED = 3 to less than 6 month supply.
BUYER’S MARKET = Greater than 6 month supply of inventory for sale.

** Month’s Supply of Inventory is calculated by dividing the number of homes for Sale by the number of homes that are Sold.

SOURCE : Triangle Multiple Listing Source

MLS Disclaimer

This representation is based in whole or in part on data supplied by the Durham Board of REALTORS, the Chapel Hill Board of REALTORS, the Raleigh-Wake Board of REALTORS or their MLSs. Neither the Boards nor their MLSs guarantee or are in any way responsible for its accuracy. Any market data maintained by the Boards or their MLSs necessarily does not include information on listings not published at the request of the a Seller, listing of brokers who are not Members of the Boards or MLS, unlisted properties, rental properties, etc.





Posted by mella at 10:12 AM | Link | 0 comments
03 September 2008
Inter Faith Food Shuttle
Back Pack Buddy Program

Fonville Morisey is taking part in collecting food for the Food Shuttle.  This program feeds children on weekends and holidays when there is not a free lunch available to them.  With the price of gas, they have had a very hard time feeding all the children in need.

Please click on the link below for more information

http://www.foodshuttle.org/newsandevents.html 

 If you would like to participate please call me and I will let you know about the foods we are collecting. 

Thank you 

Mella Pool

Posted by mella at 12:00 AM | Link | 0 comments
Mella Pool, Broker